Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 3.365525 3.562839 3.773229 4.015599 4.288834 4.589437 4.948129
2025-06-22 3.011833 3.266806 3.551854 3.898253 4.313750 4.804293 5.440533
2025-06-29 2.723149 3.004560 3.330027 3.741669 4.260034 4.908925 5.815288
2025-07-06 2.531217 2.833443 3.193333 3.664967 4.286200 5.109367 6.350947
2025-07-13 2.461178 2.799394 3.215552 3.783876 4.574350 5.700719 7.589646
2025-07-20 2.369582 2.729328 3.183727 3.825770 4.761669 6.186735 8.843133
2025-07-27 2.338185 2.731297 3.242811 3.994945 5.156010 7.083280 11.269853
2025-08-03 2.285033 2.699553 3.252151 4.092405 5.456569 7.912653 14.199428
2025-08-10 2.192565 2.608444 3.171292 4.045650 5.513246 8.309871 16.456597
2025-08-17 2.071483 2.471682 3.016804 3.871478 5.327194 8.173706 17.010900
2025-08-24 1.982356 2.374337 2.912719 3.767040 5.250579 8.254656 18.478785
2025-08-31 1.925332 2.318320 2.864423 3.745962 5.320341 8.680274 22.002894
2025-09-07 1.868591 2.266075 2.827206 3.754560 5.477713 9.454066 30.123489
2025-09-14 1.788337 2.177213 2.730982 3.658284 5.420948 9.684833 36.734082
2025-09-21 1.704426 2.079774 2.617001 3.523614 5.270575 9.621366 41.443178
2025-09-28 1.643889 2.013349 2.546568 3.458028 5.254860 9.961157 56.262154
2025-10-05 1.629111 2.011990 2.575124 3.566692 5.630807 11.783159 314.918822
2025-10-12 1.599405 1.987139 2.565246 3.605677 5.863764 13.370292 NaN
2025-10-19 1.594840 1.998968 2.613858 3.757874 6.410768 17.140301 NaN
2025-10-26 1.577077 1.989846 2.627651 3.845459 6.826846 21.381085 NaN
2025-11-02 1.536851 1.944664 2.579060 3.804334 6.879240 23.416244 NaN
2025-11-09 1.478562 1.869847 2.477720 3.649093 6.574162 21.993014 NaN
2025-11-16 1.434331 1.815436 2.408665 3.555689 6.441138 22.112305 NaN